Pro Football Terminal — NFL projections, playoff odds & analytics

Division

AFC North

Team	2025 Rec	Win Div	Playoff
PIT	10-7	21%	44%
BAL	8-9	53%	73%
CIN	6-11	25%	49%
CLE	5-12	2%	6%

Record = 2025 final · odds = 2026 simulation

2026 Outlook

Projected wins

9.0p10 6.0 — p90 11.0

Round	Prob
Win division	24.6%
Make playoffs	49.2%
Divisional rd.	23.2%
Conf. champ.	9.3%
Super Bowl	3.6%
Win SB	1.8%

2026 Schedule

proj record 8.9–8.1

Schedule

28th

toughest of 32

Offenses faced

32nd

toughest of 32

Defenses faced

11th

toughest of 32

Wk	Opp	Opp	Score	Proj	Win%
1	vsTB	+0.6	29–28	+1.1	53%
2	@HOU	+4.2	19–29	-10.0	23%
3	@PIT	-0.1	25–27	-1.8	45%
4	vsJAX	+3.7	24–28	-4.1	38%
5	@MIA	-1.4	30–28	+1.9	56%
7	@BAL	+2.6	24–30	-6.2	32%
8	vsTEN	-6.2	32–20	+12.0	81%
9	@ATL	-2.0	25–26	-1.5	46%
10	vsPIT	-0.1	26–25	+0.8	52%
11	@WAS	-1.6	33–30	+3.3	60%
12	vsNO	-5.4	27–24	+3.7	61%
13	@CLE	-6.0	24–19	+5.1	65%
14	vsKC	+2.2	28–30	-1.5	46%
15	@CAR	-3.1	28–23	+5.5	66%
16	@IND	+3.4	26–30	-4.1	38%
17	vsBAL	+2.6	26–29	-3.6	39%
18	vsCLE	-6.0	26–17	+9.2	75%

Quarterbacks · 4

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
QB	1st	Joe Burrow	6'4"	215	29	LSU
QB	2nd	Joe Flacco	6'6"	245	41	Delaware
QB	3rd	Josh Johnson	6'3"	214	40	San Diego
QB	4th	Sean Clifford	6'2"	218	27	Penn State

Running Backs · 7

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
RB	1st	Chase Brown	5'10"	210	26	Illinois
RB	2nd	Samaje Perine	5'11"	240	30	Oklahoma
RB	3rd	Tahj Brooks	5'9"	220	24	Texas Tech
RB	4th	Gary Brightwell	6'1"	218	28	Arizona
RB	5th	Kendall Milton	6'1"	230	24	Georgia
RB	7th	Jamal Haynes	5'9"	190	23	Georgia Tech
RB	—	Kentrel Bullock	5'10"	205	24	South Alabama; Mississippi

Wide Receivers · 12

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
WR	1st	Ja'Marr Chase	6'0"	205	26	LSU
WR	2nd	Tee Higgins	6'4"	220	27	Clemson
WR	3rd	Andrei Iosivas	6'3"	210	26	Princeton
WR	4th	Colbie Young	6'4"	218	23	Georgia
WR	5th	Mitchell Tinsley	6'1"	205	26	Penn State
WR	6th	Charlie Jones	6'0"	190	27	Purdue
WR	7th	Ke'Shawn Williams	5'9"	189	24	Indiana; Wake Forest
WR	8th	Jordan Moore	6'0"	191	24	Duke
WR	9th	Kendric Pryor	5'11"	189	28	Wisconsin
WR	10th	Xavier Johnson	6'1"	204	27	Ohio State
WR	12th	Noah Thomas	6'5"	205	22	Georgia
WR	—	Dohnte Meyers	5'11"	186	25	Delta State University; Presbyterian College

Tight Ends · 7

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
TE	1st	Mike Gesicki	6'6"	245	30	Penn State
TE	2nd	Drew Sample	6'5"	260	30	Washington
TE	3rd	Erick All	6'5"	255	25	Iowa
TE	4th	Tanner Hudson	6'5"	241	31	Southern Arkansas
TE	5th	Jack Endries	6'5"	245	22	Texas
TE	6th	Cam Grandy	6'5"	253	26	Illinois State
TE	—	Josh Kattus	6'4"	245	—	Kentucky

Offensive Line · 13

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
OL	—	Amarius Mims	6'8"	350	23	Georgia
OL	—	Andrew Coker	6'7"	315	25	TCU
OL	—	Christian Jones	6'9"	345	23	San Diego State
OL	—	Cody Ford	6'3"	345	29	Oklahoma
OL	—	Connor Lew	6'4"	310	20	Auburn
OL	—	Dalton Risner	6'5"	312	30	Kansas State
OL	—	Dylan Fairchild	6'5"	318	23	Georgia
OL	—	Jacob Bayer	6'3"	310	23	Arkansas State; Lamar
OL	—	Jalen Rivers	6'5"	319	23	Miami
OL	—	Javon Foster	6'5"	319	26	Missouri
OL	—	Liam Brown	6'5"	307	24	Montana
OL	—	Orlando Brown	6'8"	350	30	Oklahoma
OL	—	Ted Karras	6'4"	310	33	Illinois

Interior D-Line · 9

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LDT	1st	Dexter Lawrence	6'4"	340	28	Clemson
RDT	1st	Jonathan Allen	6'3"	300	31	Alabama
LDT	2nd	Tedarrell Slaton	6'5"	340	28	Florida
RDT	2nd	B.J. Hill	6'3"	311	31	North Carolina State
LDT	3rd	McKinnley Jackson	6'2"	330	24	Texas A&M
RDT	3rd	Kris Jenkins	6'3"	310	24	Michigan
LDT	4th	Jordan Jefferson	6'2"	316	24	LSU
RDT	4th	Landon Robinson	6'0"	295	23	Navy
RDT	5th	Howard Cross	6'1"	285	24	Notre Dame

Edge Rushers · 7

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LDE	1st	Boye Mafe	6'4"	261	27	Minnesota
RDE	1st	Myles Murphy	6'5"	275	24	Clemson
LDE	2nd	Shemar Stewart	6'5"	267	22	Texas A&M
RDE	2nd	Cashius Howell	6'4"	235	23	Texas A&M
LDE	3rd	Cedric Johnson	6'3"	264	23	Ole Miss
RDE	3rd	Isaiah Foskey	6'5"	270	25	Notre Dame
RDE	4th	Antwaun Powell-Ryland	6'2"	258	24	Virginia Tech

Linebackers · 9

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
MLB	1st	Barrett Carter	6'0"	231	23	Clemson
SLB	1st	Oren Burks	6'3"	233	31	Vanderbilt
WLB	1st	Demetrius Knight	6'2"	240	25	South Carolina
MLB	2nd	Joe Giles-Harris	6'2"	234	29	Duke
WLB	2nd	Shaka Heyward	6'3"	238	26	Duke
WLB	3rd	Swayze Bozeman	6'1"	230	27	Southern Miss
LB	—	Eric Gentry	6'7"	221	23	USC; Arizona State
LB	—	Jack Dingle	6'4"	235	23	Cincinnati
LB	—	Liam Anderson	6'3"	230	26	Holy Cross

Defensive Backs · 17

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
FS	1st	Bryan Cook	6'1"	206	26	Cincinnati
LCB	1st	Daxton Hill	6'0"	195	25	Michigan
NB	1st	Jalen Davis	5'10"	186	30	Utah State
RCB	1st	DJ Turner	5'11"	185	25	Michigan
SS	1st	Jordan Battle	6'1"	215	25	Alabama
FS	2nd	PJ Jules	6'0"	203	25	Southern Illinois
LCB	2nd	Tacario Davis	6'4"	200	21	Washington
NB	2nd	Ja'Sir Taylor	5'10"	185	27	Wake Forest
RCB	2nd	Josh Newton	5'11"	190	25	TCU
SS	2nd	Kyle Dugger	6'1"	216	30	Lenoir-Rhyne University
FS	3rd	Russ Yeast	5'10"	195	27	Kansas State
LCB	3rd	DJ Ivey	6'1"	192	26	Miami (FL)
NB	3rd	Bralyn Lux	5'10"	180	25	Texas Tech
SS	3rd	Daijahn Anthony	6'0"	200	25	Ole Miss
DB	—	Ceyair Wright	6'0"	185	23	Nebraska; USC
DB	—	Isaiah Nwokobia	6'0"	206	23	SMU
DB	—	Jalen Kimber	6'0"	190	25	Penn State; Florida

Special Teams · 11

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
H	1st	Ryan Rehkow	6'4"	235	27	BYU
KR	1st	Charlie Jones	6'0"	190	27	Purdue
P	1st	Ryan Rehkow	6'4"	235	27	BYU
PK	1st	Evan McPherson	5'11"	185	26	Florida
PR	1st	Charlie Jones	6'0"	190	27	Purdue
KR	2nd	Samaje Perine	5'11"	240	30	Oklahoma
PR	2nd	Ke'Shawn Williams	5'9"	189	24	Indiana; Wake Forest
KR	3rd	Ke'Shawn Williams	5'9"	189	24	Indiana; Wake Forest
PR	3rd	Mitchell Tinsley	6'1"	205	26	Penn State
KR	4th	Tahj Brooks	5'9"	220	24	Texas Tech
LS	—	William Wagner	6'2"	240	25	Michigan

Team Profile

2025 · pct vs league

Pass Off	-0.03	#23	29%
Rush Off	0.02	#8	77%
Pass Def	0.16	#28	13%
Rush Def	0.09	#30	6%
Scoring Off	414	#12	65%
Scoring Def	492	#30	6%

Advanced Profile

2025 · rank of 32

Pass Protection

Pressure % allowed21.8%17th

Sack % allowed5.3%10th

Pocket time2.30s25th

Run Blocking

Yds before contact / rush2.3yd25th

Pass Rush

Pressures12624th

Sacks3426th

Coverage

Completion % allowed66.2%16th

Passer rtg allowed9721st

Special Teams

FG %89.3%7th

Punt net avg42.9yd9th

Identity

Avg depth of target7.3yd—

aggregated from roster PFR / special-teams stats · green = top of league

EPA Trend

EPA/play by season · adj

NetOffDefDef: lower = better

Performance · 2025

6-11 · -78 pt diff

Metric	Off	Def	Rk
EPA / play (adj)	+0.036	+0.112	25
EPA / play (raw)	+0.032	+0.100	14/29
Pass EPA	-0.027	+0.165	23/28
Rush EPA	+0.025	+0.087	8/30
Points	414	492	—

Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.

Team Leaders

2025

Passing Yds	Flacco2,479·Burrow1,809·Browning771
Rushing Yds	Brown1,019·Perine382·Brooks45
Receiving Yds	Chase1,412·Higgins846·Brown437
Sacks	Murphy5.5·Ossai5.0·Hendrickson4.0
Interceptions	Battle4·Stone2·Turner2
Solo Tackles	Stone64·Battle60·Hill56

Scoring Trend

2025 · pts/game

PPG For

24.4

12th in NFL

PPG Against

28.9

30th in NFL

Differential

-4.5

26th in NFL

— Points for— Points against

dots: W / L

Season Results

6-11 · 8-9 ATS

WinLossCoveredmargin per game

Season History · last 10

2 playoffs · SB 0-1

Season	Regular	Playoffs	Super Bowl
2025	6-11	—	—
2024	9-8	—	—
2023	9-8	—	—
2022	12-4	2-1	—
2021	10-7	3-1	Lost
2020	4-11-1	—	—
2019	2-14	—	—
2018	6-10	—	—
2017	7-9	—	—
2016	6-9-1	—	—

Situational Splits

2025 · record · pts

Split	Record	PF	PA
Venue
Home	3-6	27	29.4
Away	3-5	21.4	28.4
Competition
One-score (≤8)	3-5	29.1	30.6
vs Winning teams	2-8	22.7	34.4
Environment
Indoors	0-1	10	48
Outdoors	6-10	25.2	27.8
Grass	3-3	21.2	23.3
Turf	3-8	26.1	32
Cold (<40°F)	1-3	21	24.2

Recent Form · last 5

2-3 SU · 3-2 ATS · O2/U3

Wk	Opp	Score	Mgn	Spread	Total
18	vsCLE	L 18-20	-2	+9.5✗	47.5U
17	vsARI	W 37-14	+23	+7.0✓	52.5U
16	@MIA	W 45-21	+24	+3.5✓	48.5O
15	vsBAL	L 0-24	-24	-2.5✗	51.5U
14	@BUF	L 34-39	-5	-6.0✓	54.5O

Betting Profile

2025

Straight up	6-11
ATS	8-947%
Over / Under	9-8 O-U
— ATS splits —
As favorite	5-6
As underdog	3-3
Home	4-5
Away	4-4

vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover

Cap & Roster Construction

APY $302M· gtd $405M

OFF $161M (53%)DEF $134M (44%)ST $6.5M

Group	Players	APY	% Total
QB	4	$63.6M	21%
RB	5	$6.1M	2%
WR	9	$76.0M	25%
TE	5	$15.6M	5%
DL	8	$64.1M	21%
EDGE	6	$31.0M	10%
LB	6	$9.4M	3%
DB	13	$29.7M	10%
ST	2	$6.5M	2%

Top Contracts

Player	Yrs	Total	Gtd	APY	Cap%
Joe BurrowQB	5	$275M	$147M	$55.0M	24.5%
Ja'Marr ChaseWR	4	$161M	$73.9M	$40.3M	14.4%
Tee HigginsWR	4	$115M	$30.0M	$28.8M	10.3%
Dexter LawrenceDT	1	$28.0M	$10.0M	$28.0M	9.3%
Boye MafeDE	3	$60.0M	$19.0M	$20.0M	6.6%
Bryan CookS	3	$40.2M	$14.0M	$13.4M	4.5%

Pending Free Agents

Player	Free	APY
Daxton HillCB	2026	$2.9M
Dexter LawrenceDT	2027	$28.0M
Tedarrell SlatonDT	2027	$7.0M
Joe FlaccoQB	2027	$6.0M
Evan McPhersonPK	2027	$5.5M
Drew SampleTE	2027	$3.5M
Myles MurphyDE	2027	$3.1M
Oren BurksLB	2027	$2.5M

Roster Profile

avg age 26.4

R1 8Day2 16Day3 27UDFA 22

Homegrown 30 (41%)Acquired 43

Avg experience3.7 yrs

Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)7 / 10

Group	Players	Avg Age
QB	4	34.2
RB	6	25.8
WR	11	25.5
TE	6	27.3
DL	9	26.3
EDGE	7	24
LB	6	26.8
DB	14	25.9
ST	10	26.2

Injury Report · 2

last report week 0

Pos	Player	Status
TE	Erick All	Questionable
DT	Kris Jenkins	Questionable

CIN News

20 items

Brendan Sorsby issues statement on decision to apply for the NFL's supplemental draft
Brendan Sorsby's college career is finished after two years at Indiana and two years at Cincinnati.
CIN2h
Katie Blackburn: The Bengals are "counting on a having good season"
After the 2025 season, Zac Taylor became the dean of AFC North coaches by default.
CIN6h
Katie Blackburn: The Bengals are "counting on having good season"
After the 2025 season, Zac Taylor became the dean of AFC North coaches by default.
CIN6h
Bengals confirm their interest in hosting the NFL draft
The Cincinnati Enquirer recently reported that the team and the Cincinnati Regional Sports Commission were engaged in talks with the NFL about the 2029 draft.
CIN7h
Will Bengals regain contender status? Front office is confident
Looking to maximize Joe Burrow's window, the Bengals acquired Dexter Lawrence during active offseason.
CIN Dexter Lawrence8h
Zac Taylor excited by what Dexter Lawrence brings to Bengals
Zac Taylor excited by what Dexter Lawrence brings to Bengals
CIN Dexter Lawrence4d
Schefter details why Bengals restructed Burrow's contract
Schefter details why Bengals restructed Burrow's contract
CIN Joe Burrow6d
Bengals sign second-rounder Cashius Howell
The Bengals have signed all of their 2026 draft picks.
CIN Cashius Howell6d
Sources: Bengals restructure Burrow's deal, free up cap space
The Cincinnati Bengals have restructured quarterback Joe Burrow's contract, freeing up $10 million in cap space for the upcoming season.
CIN Joe Burrow6d
Bengals restructure Joe Burrow's contract for cap space
The Bengals have made a procedural move to gain some more cap space.
CIN Joe Burrow6d
Five NFL teams hit with unprecedented scheduling disadvantage that no team has ever been able to overcome
The Eagles, Bengals, 49ers, Lions and Vikings might want to ask the NFL to redo the schedule
CIN6d
Joe Burrow: Agrees to contract restructure
Burrow agreed to a restructured contract Tuesday, creating $10 million in cap space for the Bengals, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. Visit RotoWire.com for more analysis on this update.
CIN Joe Burrow6d
Ja'Marr Chase: Defensive moves have raised our expectations
Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow called this year's roster the most talented one he's been a part of in the NFL and the offseason moves on the defensive side of the ball are the biggest reason to feel that way.
CIN Ja'Marr Chase13d
Bengals-Bears to hold joint practice before their preseason game
The Bengals and Bears will hold a joint practice ahead of their Aug. 22 preseason game at Paycor Stadium.
CIN13d
Ja'Marr Chase says Bengals face higher expectations due to defensive improvements
Ja'Marr Chase said the Bengals' additions on defense have raised the expectations for the team's success in 2026.
CIN Ja'Marr Chase13d
Betting the Bengals in 2026: See how Cincinnati's win total, Super Bowl odds are trending and our best bets
We're breaking down Bengals futures in our 2026 betting preview, featuring odds, trends, schedule and more
CIN13d
Bengals' Joe Flacco says "Good for us" as Myles Garrett leaves the division
Flacco has played both with Garrett and against him, and is glad not to have Garrett in the division anymore.
CIN13d
Bengals, Burrow know they have ability to be 'more explosive'
Cincinnati is looking to get back to being one of the most high-powered offenses in the NFL.
CIN Joe Burrow17d
Argentine police arrest suspects in U.S. athlete burglaries
Men suspected of being part of a transnational gang that orchestrated burglaries at the homes of well-known athletes, including stars from the NBA and NFL, have been arrested in Argentina.
CIN Joe Burrow19d
AFC North win totals: Take the Over on Joe Burrow and the remade Bengals defense
Breaking down the Over/Under win totals for the four teams in the AFC North
CIN Joe Burrow20d